StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Ja'Marr Chase Projections

CIN · WR · #1
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs JAX
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
82.4receiving yards projected vs JAX
Season average 61.7 · Last five 68.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
027558211012TB75HOU98PITStatIQ projection 82.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ PIT98
Sep 20, 2026@ @ HOU75
Sep 13, 2026vs vs TB12
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Ja'Marr Chase
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Ja'Marr Chase done against JAX?165 yards per game1 game vs JAXExplore this question

Projection context: Ja'Marr Chase, 82.4 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Ja'Marr Chase for 82.4 receiving yards against JAX in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 68.2 yards over his last 5 games, 61.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 165 yards across 1 game against JAX. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Ja'Marr Chase’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
JAX
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
68.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Ja'Marr Chase vs JAX?

StatIQ projects Ja'Marr Chase for 82.4 yards receiving yards against JAX in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Ja'Marr Chase performed in receiving yards recently?

Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 68.2 yards over his last 5 games, 61.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 165 yards across 1 game against JAX. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
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