| Date | Opponent | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs vs NE | 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ @ DEN | 40 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs vs CLE | 40 |
StatIQ projects Brian Thomas Jr for 44.9 receiving yards against CIN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Brian Thomas Jr has averaged 35.2 yards over his last 5 games, 29.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 49 yards across 1 game against CIN. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
StatIQ projects Brian Thomas Jr for 44.9 yards receiving yards against CIN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Brian Thomas Jr has averaged 35.2 yards over his last 5 games, 29.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 49 yards across 1 game against CIN. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.