StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Brian Thomas Jr Projections

JAX · WR · #7
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CIN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
44.9receiving yards projected vs CIN
Season average 29.3 · Last five 35.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01325385040CLE40DEN8NEStatIQ projection 44.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs NE8
Sep 20, 2026@ @ DEN40
Sep 13, 2026vs vs CLE40
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Brian Thomas Jr
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Brian Thomas Jr done against CIN?49 yards per game1 game vs CINExplore this question

Projection context: Brian Thomas Jr, 44.9 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Brian Thomas Jr for 44.9 receiving yards against CIN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Brian Thomas Jr has averaged 35.2 yards over his last 5 games, 29.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 49 yards across 1 game against CIN. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Brian Thomas Jr’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CIN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
35.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Brian Thomas Jr vs CIN?

StatIQ projects Brian Thomas Jr for 44.9 yards receiving yards against CIN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Brian Thomas Jr performed in receiving yards recently?

Brian Thomas Jr has averaged 35.2 yards over his last 5 games, 29.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 49 yards across 1 game against CIN. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
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