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Trevor Lawrence Projections

JAX · QB · #16
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CIN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
262.8passing yards projected vs CIN
Season average 205.3 · Last five 226.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
074147221294245CLE189DEN182NEStatIQ projection 262.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs NE182
Sep 20, 2026@ @ DEN189
Sep 13, 2026vs vs CLE245
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Trevor Lawrence
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Trevor Lawrence done against CIN?271 yards per game1 game vs CINExplore this question

Projection context: Trevor Lawrence, 262.8 passing yards

StatIQ projects Trevor Lawrence for 262.8 passing yards against CIN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Trevor Lawrence has averaged 226.8 yards over his last 5 games, 205.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 271 yards across 1 game against CIN. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Trevor Lawrence’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CIN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
226.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Trevor Lawrence vs CIN?

StatIQ projects Trevor Lawrence for 262.8 yards passing yards against CIN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Trevor Lawrence performed in passing yards recently?

Trevor Lawrence has averaged 226.8 yards over his last 5 games, 205.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 271 yards across 1 game against CIN. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
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