StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Zack Gelof

Athletics · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20@ CLE2
09-19@ CLE2
09-18@ CLE1
09-17@ TB1
09-16@ TB0
09-15@ TB0
09-13vs SEA2
09-13vs SEA0
09-12vs SEA1
09-09vs TOR0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2±0.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-25Hits0.80+0.8
08-11Hits1.11+0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CLEL 1-0402000000000.252.314.456.770
09-19@ CLEL 12-6512000100100.249.313.455.768
09-18@ CLEL 5-3411001300200.247.312.456.768
09-17@ TBL 10-1401000000000.247.312.450.762
09-16@ TBL 4-3400000000100.247.313.452.765
09-15@ TBL 2-1300000000100.250.316.457.773
09-13vs SEAW 8-7332001220000.252.319.461.780
09-13vs SEAL 19-1300000000200.249.312.451.763
09-12vs SEAW 6-5 F/10501000000000.251.315.455.769
09-09vs TORW 2-0400000000200.251.316.459.775
09-09vs TORL 4-2300000010200.254.320.464.784
09-08vs TORW 6-5421100200021.257.320.468.789
09-06@ SEAL 2-0400000000200.257.321.468.789
09-06@ SEAW 6-2421000000010.260.325.474.799
09-05@ SEAW 7-6522011200100.260.326.476.802
09-04@ SEAW 7-4522001100110.258.325.462.786
09-02@ TEXW 9-2512101100200.256.324.453.777
09-02@ TEXL 8-5321000020100.253.322.441.763
09-01@ TEXL 8-1300000000100.252.318.442.760
08-30vs BALL 8-5210000020100.255.321.446.767