StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Zach Neto

Los Angeles Angels · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 1.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared underavg 0.5
09-20vs MIN0
09-20vs MIN0
09-19vs MIN0
09-18vs MIN0
09-17vs SEA2
09-16vs SEA0
09-15vs SEA2
09-13@ WSH1
09-12@ WSH0
09-11@ WSH0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits7±0.6
Total Bases1±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-07Hits1.30+1.3
08-29Hits1.20+1.2
08-26Hits1.21+0.2
08-25Hits1.11+0.1
08-24Hits1.11+0.1
08-11Hits0.72−1.3
08-02Hits0.81−0.2
07-19Total Bases1.81+0.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MINL 8-0300000000200.237.323.433.756
09-20vs MINW 6-5 F/11410000011300.239.324.435.760
09-19vs MINL 3-0200000020100.240.324.438.763
09-18vs MINW 5-4 F/10410000010300.241.323.440.763
09-17vs SEAL 7-2312000011110.243.324.443.767
09-16vs SEAW 2-1300000010100.241.321.442.762
09-15vs SEAW 6-4422010100100.242.321.444.765
09-13@ WSHL 6-5421001110210.240.320.440.760
09-12@ WSHL 6-5 F/10500000000100.240.319.436.755
09-11@ WSHL 4-3400000000200.242.322.440.762
09-09@ BOSW 6-4312001301000.244.324.443.767
09-08@ BOSW 6-1514101200000.242.321.436.758
09-07@ BOSL 5-2400000001100.236.317.426.743
09-06@ PITL 1-0301000001100.238.318.429.747
09-05@ PITW 6-1513000100200.238.317.430.747
09-04@ PITL 1-0400000000300.234.315.428.743
09-03vs NYYL 6-3 F/10400000000200.236.317.431.748
09-02vs NYYL 7-3412100000110.238.319.434.753
09-01vs NYYW 10-1421000110200.236.318.432.750
08-30vs PHIL 4-2 F/10511001100200.236.317.433.750