
Xander Bogaerts
San Diego Padres · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:
8/1080% cleared overavg 1.4
09-20vs MIA1✓
09-19vs MIA2✓
09-17@ COL3✓
09-17@ COL0✗
09-16@ COL1✓
09-15@ COL1✓
09-13@ SF0✗
09-12@ SF4✓
09-12@ SF1✓
09-09vs WSH1✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases5———±1.5
Hits4———±1.1
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-17Hits0.93−2.1
09-15Total Bases1.11+0.1
09-12Total Bases0.95−4.0
09-02Hits0.62−1.4
08-29Hits0.70+0.7
07-23Total Bases1.10+1.1
07-21Total Bases1.02−1.0
07-18Total Bases1.20+1.2
07-17Hits0.81−0.3
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 | vs MIA | W 7-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .229 | .328 | .339 | .667 |
| 09-19 | vs MIA | W 8-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .228 | .326 | .339 | .666 |
| 09-17 | @ COL | W 9-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .226 | .325 | .336 | .661 |
| 09-17 | @ COL | W 9-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .323 | .321 | .644 |
| 09-16 | @ COL | L 9-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .223 | .322 | .323 | .644 |
| 09-15 | @ COL | W 8-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .223 | .322 | .323 | .645 |
| 09-13 | @ SF | W 6-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .321 | .323 | .644 |
| 09-12 | @ SF | W 7-6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .224 | .323 | .326 | .649 |
| 09-12 | @ SF | W 7-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .319 | .319 | .638 |
| 09-09 | vs WSH | W 9-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .320 | .318 | .638 |
| 09-09 | vs WSH | W 5-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .319 | .318 | .638 |
| 09-07 | vs WSH | W 3-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .219 | .319 | .320 | .639 |
| 09-06 | vs NYY | W 4-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .318 | .320 | .637 |
| 09-05 | vs NYY | L 5-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .220 | .320 | .322 | .641 |
| 09-05 | vs NYY | W 3-2 F/10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .219 | .320 | .322 | .643 |
| 09-02 | @ CIN | L 7-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .219 | .321 | .323 | .644 |
| 09-01 | @ CIN | L 4-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .216 | .317 | .321 | .638 |
| 08-31 | @ CIN | W 5-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .316 | .322 | .638 |
| 08-30 | @ TB | L 5-4 F/11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .217 | .317 | .321 | .638 |
| 08-29 | @ TB | L 7-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .316 | .322 | .638 |