Willson Contreras
Boston Red Sox · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Day-To-Day · Right Hand · expected back 2026-09-22
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:
5/1050% cleared overavg 0.7
09-18@ TEX1✓
09-17@ TEX1✓
09-16@ TEX0✗
09-13vs KC2✓
08-30@ NYY0✗
08-29@ NYY1✓
08-29@ NYY0✗
08-28@ NYY0✗
08-25@ MIA2✓
08-24@ MIA0✗
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits0.9 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases9———±1.5
Hits2———±0.9
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-22Total Bases1.81+0.8
08-13Total Bases1.32−0.7
08-08Total Bases1.61+0.6
07-29Hits0.90+0.9
07-26Total Bases2.10+2.1
07-25Total Bases2.30+2.3
07-24Total Bases2.31+1.3
07-22Hits1.12−0.9
07-20Total Bases2.24−1.8
07-19Total Bases2.14−1.9
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 | @ TEX | W 4-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .387 | .518 | .905 |
| 09-17 | @ TEX | L 7-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .275 | .386 | .519 | .906 |
| 09-16 | @ TEX | L 4-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .275 | .385 | .514 | .899 |
| 09-13 | vs KC | W 4-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .387 | .517 | .904 |
| 08-30 | @ NYY | L 16-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .274 | .384 | .516 | .900 |
| 08-29 | @ NYY | L 9-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .386 | .520 | .906 |
| 08-29 | @ NYY | W 6-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .275 | .383 | .515 | .898 |
| 08-28 | @ NYY | L 1-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .387 | .521 | .908 |
| 08-25 | @ MIA | W 7-3 F/11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .281 | .390 | .526 | .916 |
| 08-24 | @ MIA | W 4-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .280 | .390 | .528 | .918 |
| 08-23 | vs SF | W 5-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .282 | .392 | .533 | .925 |
| 08-22 | vs SF | W 3-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .285 | .395 | .538 | .933 |
| 08-21 | vs SF | W 6-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .285 | .396 | .541 | .937 |
| 08-19 | vs ARI | L 7-6 F/10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .284 | .393 | .534 | .927 |
| 08-18 | vs ARI | W 9-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .283 | .393 | .535 | .929 |
| 08-17 | vs ARI | W 11-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .281 | .391 | .533 | .924 |
| 08-15 | @ PIT | W 4-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .389 | .523 | .912 |
| 08-14 | @ PIT | L 8-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .281 | .390 | .527 | .917 |
| 08-13 | @ TOR | W 7-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .280 | .389 | .529 | .918 |
| 08-12 | @ TOR | L 6-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .280 | .390 | .529 | .919 |