StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Will Smith

Los Angeles Dodgers · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1
09-20vs SF0
09-20vs SF3
09-19vs SF1
09-16@ CIN2
09-14@ CIN0
09-13@ MIA1
09-12@ MIA0
09-11@ MIA1
09-10vs CIN1
09-09vs CIN1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases1±1.1
Hits1±0.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Total Bases1.10+1.1
09-12Hits0.60+0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs SFW 3-1100000000000.248.342.410.752
09-20vs SFW 10-4523001200000.249.344.412.755
09-19vs SFW 8-2411001110000.241.339.394.732
09-16@ CINL 6-2402100110100.241.337.382.719
09-14@ CINW 4-1400000000100.236.332.375.707
09-13@ MIAL 6-4311100020100.240.338.382.720
09-12@ MIAL 4-3100000000000.239.332.378.710
09-11@ MIAW 6-2401000100000.240.333.380.713
09-10vs CINW 14-1321100010000.240.335.383.717
09-09vs CINW 3-2311001101100.238.332.378.710
09-08vs CINW 6-3000000100000.237.329.363.692
09-07vs WSHW 7-5311000120100.237.330.363.693
09-06vs WSHW 6-5100000000100.235.324.364.688
09-05vs WSHW 5-3400000000000.237.326.366.691
09-04vs STLW 3-2300000010100.242.332.374.705
09-03vs STLL 8-6 F/10110000000000.246.333.380.713
09-02vs STLL 13-8511100200000.247.335.382.717
06-06vs LAAW 1-0200000010200.249.338.382.720
06-05@ ARIL 3-2301100010000.251.338.386.724
06-04@ ARIW 7-0411000010000.250.335.381.716