StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Walker Jenkins

Minnesota Twins · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.9
09-20@ LAA1
09-20@ LAA2
09-19@ LAA3
09-18@ LAA3
09-16vs NYY0
09-14vs NYY0
09-13vs CLE0
09-12vs CLE0
09-09@ DET0
09-08@ DET0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases3±2
Hits2±0.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Total Bases1.11+0.1
09-18Total Bases0.86−5.2
09-14Total Bases0.60+0.6
09-13Hits0.30+0.3
09-07Hits0.31−0.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LAAW 8-0511000000000.210.300.387.687
09-20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11412000010000.211.308.404.711
09-19@ LAAW 3-0413001100000.189.283.396.680
09-18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10423001200100.143.250.306.556
09-16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13010000000000.089.212.200.412
09-14vs NYYL 8-3400000000100.089.212.200.412
09-13vs CLEL 9-2400000000300.098.229.220.449
09-12vs CLEL 5-2300000000100.108.250.243.493
09-09@ DETL 7-2200000010200.118.268.265.533
09-08@ DETW 3-2300000000100.125.263.281.544
09-07@ DETL 5-4301100201000.138.286.310.596
09-06@ CHWL 10-1300000000200.115.258.269.527
09-04@ CHWL 4-1300000010200.130.286.304.590
09-02vs DETL 11-6 F/12400000010301.150.292.350.642
09-01vs DETW 15-2420000010000.188.316.438.753
08-31vs DETW 11-1321001210000.250.357.583.940
08-30vs CHWW 5-1300000000000.222.300.333.633
08-29vs CHWL 3-2301100100010.333.429.500.929
08-29vs CHWL 7-4301000010100.333.500.333.833