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Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Day-To-Day · Left Back · expected back 2026-09-22

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1
09-20@ TEX1
09-19@ TEX1
09-19@ TEX1
09-16vs DET1
09-15vs DET0
09-14vs DET0
09-13vs BAL4
09-12vs BAL1
09-11vs BAL1
09-09@ ATH0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases13±0.7
Hits1±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Total Bases1.70+1.7
09-12Total Bases1.32−0.7
09-09Total Bases1.30+1.3
09-08Total Bases1.32−0.7
09-07Total Bases1.31+0.3
09-05Total Bases1.41+0.4
09-04Total Bases1.42−0.6
09-01Total Bases1.41+0.4
08-28Total Bases1.32−0.8
08-14Total Bases1.41+0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TEXW 7-2201000000000.263.336.359.695
09-19@ TEXL 6-2301000010000.262.335.359.694
09-19@ TEXL 7-1401000000100.261.334.359.693
09-16vs DETW 5-1301000010000.262.334.360.694
09-15vs DETL 10-1300000010000.261.333.360.693
09-14vs DETL 6-5400000010100.263.334.362.696
09-13vs BALW 8-1514101100100.265.335.365.700
09-12vs BALW 7-3421100101200.259.331.352.683
09-11vs BALL 7-4401000010200.259.330.351.682
09-09@ ATHL 2-0300000010000.260.330.352.682
09-09@ ATHW 4-2412000000101.261.330.354.685
09-08@ ATHL 6-5401000000100.259.329.353.682
09-06@ KCL 6-1400000000100.259.330.354.684
09-05@ KCW 4-3511000000100.261.332.357.689
09-05@ KCW 9-2412000000000.262.333.358.692
09-03@ CLEW 6-3310000110100.260.332.357.689
09-02@ CLEW 11-0413101500000.262.333.360.693
09-01@ CLEL 6-1401000000000.258.330.348.678
08-30vs SEAW 7-0501000100000.258.331.348.679
08-29vs SEAW 4-3300000010000.258.332.350.682