What does StatIQ project for Victor Mesa Jr.?

StatIQ shows current MLB projections for Victor Mesa Jr. in Hits, Home Runs, RBIs, and Total Bases, each with the player's recent form, season stats and the full game log so you can weigh the number yourself. Projections are model estimates, not guarantees.

Does StatIQ show a track record for Victor Mesa Jr.?

Yes. Every graded MLB projection StatIQ logs is public (wins and losses alike) and the page shows how close StatIQ has landed for Victor Mesa Jr.. No edge or profit is claimed.

Victor Mesa Jr. Prop Projections

Tampa Bay Rays · RF · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Follows are saved on this device.

Projections & lines

4 markets

Hits Home Runs RBIs Total Bases

Hits

Oct 16

Projection only

0.91Projection · hits

0.5Line

+0.41Gap

Compare prices

No pick logged for Victor Mesa Jr. on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Hits	0.91	0.50	+0.41
Home Runs	0.19	0.50	−0.31
RBIs	0.49	0.50	−0.01
Total Bases	1.75	1.50	+0.25

Recent games

actual results · log current through Oct 15 · includes postseason · via ESPN

0.90Average hits, last 10 (10 games)Over 0.50 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds

Sep 23

Sep 24

Sep 26

Sep 27

Oct 3

Oct 5

Oct 7

Oct 12

Oct 13

Oct 15

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log

Victor Mesa Jr. game log
Date	Opponent	Hits	Projection	Result vs projection
Oct 15	@ CLE · Postseason	0	–	–
Oct 13	vs CLE · Postseason	0	0.91	−0.91
Oct 12	vs CLE · Postseason	1	0.91	+0.09
Oct 7	@ NYY · Postseason	1	0.91	+0.09
Oct 5	vs NYY · Postseason	0	–	–
Oct 3	vs NYY · Postseason	1	0.91	+0.09
Sep 27	@ PHI	1	–	–
Sep 26	@ PHI	4	–	–
Sep 24	@ NYY	1	–	–
Sep 23	@ NYY	0	1.02	−1.02

Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN

Victor Mesa Jr. full game log, last 20 games
Date	Opp	Result	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Oct 15	@ CLE	L 3-2	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	.143	.217	.286	.503
Oct 13	vs CLE	W 3-1	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	.167	.211	.333	.544
Oct 12	vs CLE	L 7-3	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	.214	.267	.429	.695
Oct 7	@ NYY	W 4-3	4	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	.200	.273	.500	.773
Oct 5	vs NYY	W 5-2	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	.167	.286	.167	.452
Oct 3	vs NYY	W 1-0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	.333	.333	.333	.667
Sep 27	@ PHI	L 7-3	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	.260	.327	.498	.825
Sep 26	@ PHI	W 12-1	5	3	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	.260	.328	.502	.830
Sep 24	@ NYY	L 6-4	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	.248	.319	.487	.805
Sep 23	@ NYY	L 9-2	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.249	.321	.493	.814
Sep 22	@ NYY	L 2-0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.252	.322	.500	.822
Sep 20	vs BOS	W 5-1	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	.251	.322	.502	.825
Sep 19	vs BOS	W 2-1	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	.249	.318	.488	.806
Sep 18	vs BOS	L 4-2	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	.254	.323	.498	.821
Sep 16	vs ATH	W 4-3	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	.252	.320	.500	.820
Sep 15	vs ATH	W 2-1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.257	.326	.510	.836
Sep 13	vs HOU	W 14-4	5	3	3	1	1	0	2	0	1	0	.261	.330	.518	.848
Sep 12	vs HOU	W 3-2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	.253	.324	.500	.824
Sep 11	vs HOU	W 3-1	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	.250	.316	.500	.816
Sep 10	@ ATL	L 3-1	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	.247	.311	.484	.795

Context

Next game: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Compare prices

Hits · Victor Mesa Jr.

Hits · line 0.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet	−162	–
betPARX	−162	+118
BetRivers	−162	–
DraftKings	−162	+122
ESPN BET	−150Best	+120
Hard Rock Bet	−160	+125Best
Novig	−156	−9900
ProphetX	−154	–
Shown, never used as our price
BetOnline	−154	+118
Dabble	−154	+155
Fliff	−180	+110

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 6:03 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Offshore. Offshore and unlicensed in the US. It has paid reliably for over two decades and often has the better number, but no US regulator can make it pay you, and its rules let it void bets it decides were priced in error, which is exactly the kind of bet we surface.

Pick'em. Pick'em entry, not a single bet. Its per-leg price is not shoppable against a sportsbook's.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Victor Mesa Jr.

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, Home Runs and RBIs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Victor Mesa Jr.: projection accuracy by market
Market	Graded	Average miss	Landed within
Hits	9	–	–
Total Bases	1	–	–

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection: StatIQ’s number for Victor Mesa Jr.’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line: The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+0.41 for hits). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual: Victor Mesa Jr.’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

See every MLB player