StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Victor Mesa Jr.

Tampa Bay Rays · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1
09-20vs BOS1
09-19vs BOS0
09-18vs BOS1
09-16vs ATH0
09-15vs ATH0
09-13vs HOU3
09-12vs HOU1
09-11vs HOU1
09-10@ ATL1
09-09@ ATL2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.7
Total Bases1±0.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-11Hits0.91−0.1
08-05Hits0.52−1.5
08-04Hits0.50+0.5
07-28Hits0.70+0.7
07-22Total Bases1.62−0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs BOSW 5-1211001110000.251.322.502.825
09-19vs BOSW 2-1400000000300.249.318.488.806
09-18vs BOSL 4-2311000010100.254.323.498.821
09-16vs ATHW 4-3400000000100.252.320.500.820
09-15vs ATHW 2-1300000000000.257.326.510.836
09-13vs HOUW 14-4533110200100.261.330.518.848
09-12vs HOUW 3-2211000020100.253.324.500.824
09-11vs HOUW 3-1211001110010.250.316.500.816
09-10@ ATLL 3-1111001100000.247.311.484.795
09-09@ ATLW 7-2322001110001.243.308.466.773
09-08@ ATLW 7-1502100100010.237.299.446.745
09-06@ TEXL 8-6412100100000.232.296.442.738
09-05@ TEXW 6-3 F/10402000000110.226.292.435.727
09-05@ TEXW 7-6511000100100.220.288.434.721
09-04@ TEXL 6-0100000000000.220.290.440.731
09-02vs NYML 10-4400000000000.222.292.443.735
09-01vs NYMW 6-2423000000000.227.298.454.752
08-18vs TORL 10-5000000001000.214.288.447.735
08-15vs BALL 4-3 F/10100000000000.214.284.447.731
08-14vs BALL 6-5301000100000.215.286.449.735