StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Tyler Tolbert

Kansas City Royals · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.6
Total Bases4±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-13Hits0.41−0.6
08-30Total Bases0.61−0.4
08-29Hits0.51−0.5
08-22Hits0.60+0.6
08-20Total Bases1.00+1.0
08-15Hits0.50+0.5
08-09Hits0.50+0.5
08-02Total Bases0.80+0.8
07-22Total Bases1.20+1.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ PITL 4-3200000000000.288.353.400.753
09-19@ PITL 6-5000000000010.293.358.407.764
09-18@ PITL 8-5100000000100.293.358.407.764
09-16@ HOUL 4-2100000000100.295.360.410.770
09-13@ BOSL 4-1401000000100.298.363.413.776
09-11@ BOSW 3-2100000000101.299.366.419.785
09-08vs ARIL 5-3 F/11100000000000.302.369.422.792
09-05vs TORL 4-3100000000100.304.372.426.798
09-03vs MIAW 7-3010000000010.307.375.430.805
08-30@ CLEL 11-1301000000100.307.375.430.805
08-29@ CLEW 8-3111000010000.306.376.432.808
08-28@ CLEW 3-0010000000000.300.366.427.793
08-27@ TORW 13-2111000000000.300.366.427.793
08-26@ TORL 3-0201000000010.294.361.422.783
08-25@ TORW 5-3211000000110.290.358.421.779
08-23vs DETW 11-7310000001100.286.356.419.775
08-22vs DETW 3-1300000000200.294.360.431.791
08-20vs ATHW 6-2300000010010.303.369.444.814
08-19vs ATHW 9-7311000010000.313.374.458.832
08-18vs ATHW 4-3101000200000.312.369.462.831