StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Tyler Stephenson

Cincinnati Reds · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.6
09-20vs CHC0
09-19vs CHC1
09-18vs CHC1
09-17vs LAD1
09-16vs LAD1
09-15vs LAD0
09-14vs LAD0
09-13@ MIL1
09-12@ MIL1
09-11@ MIL0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.6
Total Bases2±2.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-13Hits0.81−0.2
08-30Total Bases1.36−4.7
08-04Hits1.00+1.0
07-31Hits0.91−0.1
07-25Hits1.10+1.1
07-22Total Bases1.62−0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs CHCL 9-1400000000200.246.327.411.739
09-19vs CHCL 5-2401000000000.248.330.415.746
09-18vs CHCW 6-4301000110200.248.331.417.748
09-17vs LADL 8-2301000000000.247.330.418.747
09-16vs LADW 6-2301000001000.247.330.418.748
09-15vs LADL 4-0100000000000.246.328.419.747
09-14vs LADL 4-1400000000200.247.329.420.749
09-13@ MILW 4-3201100110000.249.332.424.756
09-12@ MILL 13-9401100000200.248.330.421.752
09-11@ MILL 20-0200000000000.248.331.420.751
09-10@ LADL 14-1101000000000.249.333.423.755
09-09@ LADL 3-2201000020000.247.331.421.752
09-08@ LADL 6-3400000000100.246.327.421.748
09-06vs MILW 12-8502000210200.249.330.425.756
09-05vs MILW 5-3411001100200.246.328.426.753
09-04vs MILL 10-7310000010100.246.328.419.748
09-02vs SDW 7-3310000010100.249.329.423.752
08-31vs SDL 5-0301000010200.251.330.427.756
08-30@ CHCW 7-5512101200000.250.328.427.756
08-29@ CHCL 17-5411100000200.248.327.416.743