StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Trevor Story

Boston Red Sox · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

10/10100% cleared overavg 1.2
09-20@ TB1
09-19@ TB1
09-18@ TB1
09-18@ TEX2
09-17@ TEX1
09-16@ TEX1
09-13vs KC2
09-12vs KC1
09-11vs KC1
09-09vs LAA1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2±0.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-11Hits1.11+0.1
09-06Hits1.11+0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TBL 5-1411001100100.247.278.368.646
09-19@ TBL 2-1401000000100.247.278.357.636
09-18@ TBW 4-2311000010000.247.279.359.638
09-18@ TEXW 4-3412001300200.246.275.360.635
09-17@ TEXL 7-3301000000110.241.271.344.615
09-16@ TEXL 4-2301000010100.240.270.344.614
09-13vs KCW 4-1402000200100.239.266.344.610
09-12vs KCW 5-1411100000200.234.262.341.603
09-11vs KCL 3-2401100000100.233.262.338.601
09-09vs LAAL 6-4401000000100.233.263.335.598
09-08vs LAAL 6-1411100000300.233.263.337.600
09-07vs LAAW 5-2400000000000.232.263.333.596
09-06@ BALW 3-1401000000000.237.268.340.608
09-05@ BALW 5-0523000000200.237.269.342.611
09-04@ BALW 1-0401000000200.227.260.335.595
09-02vs SEAL 8-3401100100100.227.260.337.597
09-01vs SEAL 9-6402100000100.226.261.333.594
08-31vs SEAW 9-8 F/10502100300100.220.255.324.579
08-30@ NYYL 16-1312100000100.214.251.315.567
05-14vs PHIL 3-1400000000200.206.244.303.547