StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Trea Turner

Philadelphia Phillies · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20@ NYM1
09-19@ NYM2
09-18@ NYM1
09-17@ NYM0
09-16@ WSH0
09-15@ WSH1
09-13@ ATL2
09-12@ ATL1
09-11@ ATL0
09-10vs HOU0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases7±0.9
Hits3±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits0.92−1.1
09-12Total Bases1.61+0.6
09-05Total Bases1.21+0.2
09-02Total Bases1.20+1.2
08-01Hits1.22−0.8
07-31Hits1.03−2.0
07-25Total Bases1.81+0.8
07-22Total Bases2.10+2.1
07-21Total Bases2.31+1.3
07-19Total Bases2.02+0.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ NYMW 7-2311100120200.241.299.382.681
09-19@ NYML 10-3312000020010.241.296.380.677
09-18@ NYML 6-3401000000100.239.293.379.672
09-17@ NYMW 3-0310000020000.238.293.380.673
09-16@ WSHW 3-0410000010110.240.292.382.674
09-15@ WSHL 6-3411000000000.241.293.384.677
09-13@ ATLW 9-4412000110100.241.293.385.678
09-12@ ATLL 12-2301000000100.239.291.384.675
09-11@ ATLL 6-5 F/11500000000100.239.290.385.675
09-10vs HOUL 2-1400000000100.241.293.388.681
09-09vs HOUW 11-7522001200110.243.295.391.685
09-08vs HOUL 6-5412101200100.241.294.385.679
09-07vs ATLW 1-0401100000100.240.292.378.670
09-06vs ATLL 5-4411100000000.239.293.377.669
09-05vs ATLW 4-2411000010000.239.293.376.669
09-04vs ATLL 5-2401100000000.239.292.377.669
09-02@ ARIL 1-0400000000300.239.292.376.668
09-02@ ARIW 7-1511100100000.241.294.379.673
09-01@ ARIW 2-1300000010100.241.295.378.674
08-30@ LAAW 5-2411000010000.243.295.381.676