StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Travis D'Arnaud

Los Angeles Angels · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared underavg 0.3
09-19vs MIN0
09-15vs SEA0
09-08@ BOS2
09-04@ PIT0
09-03vs NYY0
08-30vs PHI1
08-26vs CLE0
08-25vs CLE0
08-22@ TEX0
08-22@ TEX0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.3 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.7
Total Bases1±0.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Total Bases0.50+0.5
09-14Hits0.40+0.4
09-08Hits0.32−1.7
08-29Hits0.31−0.7
08-22Hits0.40+0.4
08-01Hits0.50+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19vs MINL 3-0300000000100.167.250.250.500
09-15vs SEAW 6-4400000000100.174.260.261.521
09-08@ BOSW 6-1422200000200.185.274.277.551
09-04@ PITL 1-0100000000100.164.261.230.490
09-03vs NYYL 6-3 F/10200000000100.167.265.233.498
08-30vs PHIL 4-2 F/10201000000100.172.273.241.514
08-26vs CLEL 4-3100000000100.161.266.232.498
08-25vs CLEL 4-2200000000100.164.270.236.506
08-22@ TEXW 3-0300000000100.170.279.245.524
08-22@ TEXL 2-1 F/10200000010000.180.293.260.553
08-20@ HOUL 3-2000000010000.188.291.271.562
08-16vs KCL 3-0300000000200.188.278.271.549
08-11vs TEXL 4-1 F/10100000010100.200.294.289.583
08-05@ BALL 5-2201000000100.205.286.295.581
08-04@ BALL 3-1201000000100.190.277.286.562
08-02vs MILL 3-1300000000200.175.267.275.542
08-01vs MILL 6-2200000000000.189.286.297.583
05-06vs CHWW 8-2211001300000.200.300.314.614
05-05vs CHWL 6-0302000000100.182.289.212.502
05-03vs NYMW 4-3 F/10300000000100.133.257.167.424