StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Travis Bazzana

Cleveland Guardians · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20vs ATH0
09-19vs ATH0
09-18vs ATH1
09-16vs CHW0
09-15vs CHW2
09-14vs CHW1
09-13@ MIN2
09-12@ MIN1
09-12@ MIN2
09-09@ BAL0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs0.8 we project
Total Bases2.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±0.7
Total Bases3±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-08Hits1.010.0
09-06Hits0.92−1.1
08-09Total Bases1.10+1.1
08-06Hits1.00+1.0
07-26Total Bases1.40+1.4
07-25Total Bases1.42−0.6
07-23Hits0.90+0.9
07-22Hits1.00+1.0
07-21Hits0.91−0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs ATHW 1-0300000000100.246.338.407.746
09-19vs ATHW 12-6400000000000.248.340.410.750
09-18vs ATHW 5-3311001110000.250.343.414.757
09-16vs CHWW 6-3400000000000.249.342.408.749
09-15vs CHWW 7-6422002200100.252.344.412.756
09-14vs CHWL 7-3401100000000.249.343.396.739
09-13@ MINW 9-2422001310010.249.344.395.739
09-12@ MINL 4-3401000100200.247.341.387.728
09-12@ MINW 5-2222000020000.247.342.388.730
09-09@ BALL 9-5210000011000.243.336.385.721
09-08@ BALW 9-5411001310100.244.335.387.722
09-06vs DETW 3-2 F/10402100100001.244.334.380.715
09-04vs DETW 4-3 F/10312001300000.242.333.377.709
09-04vs DETW 7-6312100100000.238.330.366.697
09-03vs TORL 6-3100000001000.235.328.361.689
09-02vs TORL 11-0300000000100.235.327.362.690
09-01vs TORW 6-1100000010000.237.329.365.695
08-30vs KCW 11-1400000000100.238.329.366.695
08-28vs KCL 3-0300000001200.241.332.370.702
08-26@ LAAW 4-3312000200100.243.333.373.706