StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Tommy White

Athletics · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared underavg 0.5
09-20@ CLE0
09-19@ CLE0
09-18@ CLE0
09-17@ TB0
09-16@ TB3
09-15@ TB0
09-13vs SEA0
09-12vs SEA1
09-09vs TOR1
09-09vs TOR0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.1 we project
Total Bases0.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±1.1
Total Bases2±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-24Hits1.00+1.0
08-21Hits0.80+0.8
08-18Total Bases1.31+0.3
08-16Hits0.82−1.2
08-09Total Bases1.10+1.1
08-06Hits1.12−0.9
08-02Hits1.20+1.2
07-27Hits1.30+1.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CLEL 1-0300000000000.244.264.324.588
09-19@ CLEL 12-6100000000000.249.268.329.598
09-18@ CLEL 5-3200000010000.250.270.331.601
09-17@ TBL 10-1400000000100.253.269.335.604
09-16@ TBL 4-3413001100000.259.275.343.618
09-15@ TBL 2-1100000000000.247.263.315.578
09-13vs SEAL 19-1100000000000.248.265.317.582
09-12vs SEAW 6-5 F/10401000000100.250.267.319.585
09-09vs TORW 2-0311000000000.250.267.321.588
09-09vs TORL 4-2400000000100.248.266.320.586
09-02@ TEXL 8-5000000000000.255.273.329.602
09-01@ TEXL 8-1300000000100.255.273.329.602
08-30vs BALL 8-5411100000100.260.278.336.614
08-30vs BALL 5-3500000000100.261.279.331.610
08-29vs BALL 4-3 F/10301000000100.270.289.343.632
08-27vs MINW 7-4423000000100.269.288.343.631
08-26vs MINW 4-2411100100000.254.274.331.605
08-25vs MINL 9-6400000100100.254.275.325.600
08-23@ HOUW 7-6501000200000.262.286.336.622
08-22@ HOUW 4-3403100000000.265.289.342.631