StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Tim Tawa

Arizona Diamondbacks · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 1.5 — pick a split:

9/1090% cleared underavg 0.7
09-20vs NYY0
09-20vs NYY0
09-19vs NYY0
09-17vs MIA0
09-15vs MIA0
09-13vs TEX1
09-13vs TEX1
09-09@ KC1
09-08@ KC3
09-07@ KC1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases5±1.2
Hits4±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-09Total Bases1.21+0.2
08-23Hits0.92−1.1
08-11Hits0.72−1.3
08-05Hits0.72−1.3
07-29Hits0.90+0.9
07-27Total Bases1.60+1.6
07-22Total Bases1.33−1.7
07-20Total Bases1.30+1.3
07-18Total Bases1.30+1.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs NYYW 8-4400000000100.234.292.385.676
09-20vs NYYW 5-3310000000200.237.295.390.685
09-19vs NYYL 9-2300000000200.239.298.394.692
09-17vs MIAL 4-3400000000100.242.301.399.700
09-15vs MIAW 8-7310000010000.245.305.404.709
09-13vs TEXL 7-6411100100000.248.306.409.714
09-13vs TEXL 6-2311010010000.248.306.407.714
09-09@ KCL 5-2401000000000.247.304.401.705
09-08@ KCW 5-3 F/11513001200000.247.304.403.708
09-07@ KCW 5-4 F/10301000000200.240.299.388.687
09-06@ HOUW 3-2301000000100.239.299.388.687
09-05@ HOUW 4-3 F/10321000010200.238.299.389.687
09-05@ HOUL 3-1300000010300.237.296.390.685
09-02vs PHIW 1-0300000000200.240.296.394.691
09-02vs PHIL 7-1401000000000.243.300.399.699
09-01vs PHIL 2-1400000000300.243.300.402.702
08-30@ SFL 7-2401100000200.247.305.409.714
08-29@ SFW 7-1321000010110.247.306.407.713
08-29@ SFW 10-6522001300200.246.303.408.711
08-28@ SFL 6-1300000010200.242.301.395.695