StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Thomas Saggese

St. Louis Cardinals · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.6
09-20vs WSH0
09-19vs WSH0
09-19vs WSH0
09-16vs SF1
09-15vs SF1
09-14vs SF2
09-13vs CHW0
09-12vs CHW1
09-12vs CHW1
09-09@ SF0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits1.11+0.1
09-01Hits0.52−1.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs WSHW 5-3400000000200.247.302.377.679
09-19vs WSHL 8-5 F/11400000010200.254.310.387.697
09-19vs WSHL 9-1300000001100.261.314.399.712
09-16vs SFL 6-5 F/10421000100100.267.315.407.723
09-15vs SFL 10-3401000000000.267.319.412.732
09-14vs SFW 2-1412000000010.268.321.417.739
09-13vs CHWW 3-1300000000100.260.316.415.731
09-12vs CHWL 6-5411000000100.267.323.425.748
09-12vs CHWW 7-3401000000000.267.326.431.757
09-09@ SFL 7-6310000010100.268.328.438.766
09-09@ SFL 2-1401000000100.275.331.450.780
09-08@ SFL 5-4 F/11502000000100.276.333.457.790
09-06@ COLW 10-8422100000100.270.330.460.790
09-06@ COLL 10-7212100110010.260.324.448.772
09-05@ COLW 7-6311100110110.245.308.426.733
09-04@ LADL 3-2301000010100.242.300.418.718
09-03@ LADW 8-6 F/10422001300100.239.292.420.712
09-02@ LADW 13-8332002310000.226.283.381.664
08-30vs PITL 5-4423000000000.210.264.296.561
08-29vs PITL 6-2100000000100.182.241.273.514