StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Spencer Torkelson

Detroit Tigers · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.1
09-20@ CHW1
09-19@ CHW0
09-18@ CHW2
09-17@ CHW1
09-16@ TOR1
09-15@ TOR2
09-14@ TOR1
09-13vs COL2
09-12vs COL1
09-11vs COL0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±0.7
Total Bases1±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-04Hits0.52−1.5
08-31Total Bases0.90+0.9
08-14Hits1.21+0.2
08-12Hits1.21+0.2
08-11Hits1.11+0.1
08-05Hits0.90+0.9
08-01Hits0.82−1.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CHWL 8-1201100011100.229.326.424.750
09-19@ CHWL 3-1200000000100.228.323.421.744
09-18@ CHWW 11-8402000010100.229.324.423.747
09-17@ CHWL 3-1301000010100.227.322.422.744
09-16@ TORL 5-1201000020100.226.321.423.743
09-15@ TORW 10-1432101310210.225.318.423.740
09-14@ TORW 6-5301100110200.223.315.414.729
09-13vs COLW 8-1412001100100.222.314.412.726
09-12vs COLW 11-7411000110000.220.312.405.718
09-11vs COLW 6-2110000010000.220.312.407.718
09-09vs MINW 7-2111000000000.220.311.407.718
09-08vs MINL 3-2200000000200.219.310.406.716
09-07vs MINW 5-4400000000100.220.311.408.719
09-05@ CLEW 6-0400000000200.222.313.411.724
09-04@ CLEL 4-3 F/10401000000100.223.315.415.730
09-04@ CLEL 7-6412001100200.223.316.416.732
09-02@ MINW 11-6 F/12411001200100.221.315.409.724
09-01@ MINL 15-2301100001000.221.315.404.719
08-31@ MINL 11-1100000011000.220.314.402.716
08-29vs LADW 2-1200000000100.220.312.403.715