StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Spencer Jones

New York Yankees · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1.1
09-20@ ARI1
09-19@ ARI0
09-16@ MIN0
09-15@ MIN1
09-14@ MIN0
09-13vs NYM1
09-12vs NYM2
09-11vs NYM2
09-10vs COL3
09-09vs COL1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits7±0.7
Total Bases2±1.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Total Bases1.70+1.7
09-10Total Bases1.43−1.6
09-02Hits0.90+0.9
08-23Hits0.72−1.3
08-15Hits0.71−0.3
08-13Hits0.60+0.6
08-07Hits0.60+0.6
08-05Hits0.60+0.6
07-30Hits0.51−0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ ARIL 8-4411001100200.248.317.442.759
09-19@ ARIW 9-2400000100200.248.318.433.751
09-16@ MINL 5-4 F/13600000000500.252.323.440.763
09-15@ MINW 8-1511001300000.259.331.452.782
09-14@ MINW 8-3400000000200.260.333.444.777
09-13vs NYMW 2-0301000000000.265.339.452.791
09-12vs NYML 12-2402000000200.264.339.454.793
09-11vs NYMW 6-4402000100200.259.336.453.789
09-10vs COLW 10-3413000200000.255.333.452.785
09-09vs COLW 6-1211100020000.245.326.446.772
09-08vs COLW 5-3300000010300.243.319.441.759
09-06@ SDL 4-3311100110100.246.320.447.767
09-05@ SDW 5-1412100100100.245.317.444.760
09-05@ SDL 3-2 F/10401000100201.240.313.438.751
09-03@ LAAW 6-3 F/10400000000400.239.314.441.756
09-02@ LAAW 7-3322001320110.245.320.451.771
09-01@ LAAL 10-1311001100100.238.308.431.739
08-30vs BOSW 16-1121000000000.236.308.416.724
08-29vs BOSW 9-2311000100000.232.305.412.717
08-29vs BOSL 6-0301000000100.230.306.414.719