StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Spencer Horwitz

Pittsburgh Pirates · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20vs KC1
09-18vs KC2
09-16vs MIL0
09-15vs MIL0
09-12@ CHC1
09-10@ CHW1
09-09@ CHW1
09-08@ CHW2
09-06vs LAA0
09-05vs LAA0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases4±1.1
Hits1±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits0.80+0.8
09-04Total Bases1.00+1.0
09-01Total Bases0.82−1.2
08-29Total Bases0.90+0.9
08-26Total Bases0.92−1.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs KCW 4-3401000100200.248.346.367.713
09-18vs KCW 8-5322000210000.248.347.368.715
09-16vs MILL 5-4100000000100.245.344.365.709
09-15vs MILL 5-1200000000000.245.344.366.711
09-12@ CHCL 4-3301000010100.247.346.368.714
09-10@ CHWW 2-0301000000000.246.344.369.713
09-09@ CHWW 4-2411000000100.245.345.369.714
09-08@ CHWW 9-3502000300000.245.345.370.716
09-06vs LAAW 1-0300000000000.243.345.370.715
09-05vs LAAL 6-1100000010000.245.347.373.721
09-04vs LAAW 1-0200000020200.246.347.374.721
09-03vs SFW 5-2511000000000.247.345.376.722
09-02vs SFL 5-4 F/10511000100100.248.347.379.726
09-01vs SFW 13-12612000200300.248.349.382.731
08-30@ STLW 5-4300000010100.247.349.383.732
08-29@ STLW 6-2500000000100.249.350.386.736
08-29@ STLL 4-1100000000000.253.355.392.747
08-26@ SDL 3-0502000000100.254.356.394.749
08-26@ SDW 1-0401000000100.252.355.394.749
08-25@ SDW 3-2 F/12501000000200.252.356.395.752