StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Shea Langeliers

Athletics · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 1 — pick a split:

2/1020% cleared underavg 1
09-20@ CLE0
09-19@ CLE2
09-18@ CLE0
09-16@ TB1
09-15@ TB1
09-13vs SEA1
09-13vs SEA1
07-25@ MIN1
07-22@ ARI2
07-22@ ARI1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases3±0.9
Hits2±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.02−1.0
09-13Total Bases1.81+0.8
07-24Total Bases1.92−0.1
07-21Total Bases1.70+1.7
07-18Hits0.90+0.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CLEL 1-0400000000200.263.329.483.811
09-19@ CLEL 12-6412000010100.265.332.487.819
09-18@ CLEL 5-3400000000100.263.329.487.816
09-16@ TBL 4-3401000100110.265.332.492.824
09-15@ TBL 2-1401000000100.266.333.495.827
09-13vs SEAW 8-7101000200000.266.333.497.831
09-13vs SEAL 19-1301000100000.264.332.496.828
07-25@ MINW 2-0401100000100.263.332.497.829
07-22@ ARIL 15-5302000000100.263.333.497.830
07-22@ ARIL 6-5 F/10411001110100.260.330.496.826
07-21@ ARIW 5-2411000010300.260.329.490.820
07-19vs WSHL 5-2402100000100.260.328.493.821
07-19vs WSHW 15-1301100320100.258.327.490.817
07-18vs WSHL 23-4411001100300.257.323.489.812
07-15vs NLW 4-01110000100001.0001.0001.0002.000
07-12@ CHWL 9-1411001100000.257.324.483.807
07-11@ CHWL 1-0400000000300.257.325.477.801
07-10@ CHWL 14-1300000000300.260.328.482.810
07-09@ DETL 4-1201000011100.263.331.487.817
07-08@ DETL 6-1400000000100.261.326.487.813