StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Shay Whitcomb

San Francisco Giants · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.7
09-20@ LAD0
09-20@ LAD0
09-19@ LAD0
09-16@ STL2
09-15@ STL0
09-14@ STL1
09-13vs SD2
09-12vs SD1
09-12vs SD0
09-09vs STL1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases0.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits16±0.6
Total Bases2±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Total Bases0.90+0.9
09-19Hits0.70+0.7
09-14Hits0.61−0.4
09-13Hits0.52−1.5
09-11Hits0.50+0.5
09-09Hits0.51−0.6
09-08Hits0.41−0.6
09-06Hits0.30+0.3
09-05Hits0.31−0.7
09-04Hits0.30+0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LADL 3-1300000000100.175.198.320.519
09-20@ LADL 10-4400000000100.180.204.330.534
09-19@ LADL 8-2300000000300.188.212.344.556
09-16@ STLW 6-5 F/10512000000000.194.219.355.574
09-15@ STLW 10-3100000000100.182.209.352.561
09-14@ STLL 2-1301000000100.184.211.356.567
09-13vs SDL 6-4412000000000.179.207.357.564
09-12vs SDL 7-6311001100000.163.193.350.543
09-12vs SDL 7-5300000000100.156.188.312.499
09-09vs STLW 7-6401100100000.162.195.324.519
09-09vs STLW 2-1401000000000.157.192.314.506
09-08vs STLW 5-4 F/11502000100100.152.188.318.507
09-05@ NYMW 9-5401000000001.131.172.311.483
09-03@ PITL 5-2000000020000.123.167.316.482
09-02@ PITW 5-4 F/10401100000100.123.138.316.454
09-01@ PITL 13-12301000000000.113.130.302.432
08-31@ ATLW 7-3100000000000.100.118.300.418
08-30vs ARIW 7-2400000000200.102.120.306.426
08-29vs ARIL 7-1400000000200.111.130.333.464
08-29vs ARIL 10-6400000000100.122.143.366.509