Shane Baz
Baltimore Orioles · SP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Outs Recorded cleared the over 16.5 — pick a split:
7/1070% cleared overavg 16.6
09-15@ NYM12✗
09-09vs CLE17✓
09-04vs BOS19✓
08-30@ ATH17✓
08-23vs TB17✓
08-18vs NYY19✓
08-12@ MIN9✗
08-08@ TEX24✓
08-01vs PHI19✓
07-26vs ATL13✗
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Outs Recorded16.8 we project
Strikeouts4.4 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
No graded projections yet.
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | GB | FB | P | TBF | GSC | Dec | Rel | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 | @ NYM | W 7-5 F/11 | 4.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 68 | 21 | 36.0 | - | - | 4.11 |
| 09-09 | vs CLE | W 9-5 | 5.2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 100 | 26 | 41.0 | W(6-15) | - | 4.05 |
| 09-04 | vs BOS | L 1-0 | 6.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 95 | 26 | 65.0 | L(5-15) | - | 3.91 |
| 08-30 | @ ATH | W 5-3 | 5.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 24 | 52.0 | W(5-14) | - | 4.01 |
| 08-23 | vs TB | L 3-1 | 5.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 96 | 22 | 47.0 | L(4-14) | - | 4.04 |
| 08-18 | vs NYY | L 3-1 | 6.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 104 | 25 | 61.0 | L(4-13) | - | 4.02 |
| 08-12 | @ MIN | L 7-5 | 3.0 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 65 | 19 | 22.0 | L(4-12) | - | 4.00 |
| 08-08 | @ TEX | L 2-1 | 8.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 93 | 28 | 76.0 | L(4-11) | - | 3.76 |
| 08-01 | vs PHI | L 5-0 | 6.1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 99 | 25 | 60.0 | L(4-10) | - | 3.86 |
| 07-26 | vs ATL | L 3-2 F/11 | 4.1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 90 | 19 | 45.0 | - | - | 3.98 |
| 07-20 | @ BOS | L 6-5 | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 77 | 25 | 56.0 | - | - | 4.05 |
| 07-12 | vs KC | W 8-2 | 4.2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 104 | 22 | 49.0 | - | - | 4.19 |
| 07-07 | vs CHC | L 5-2 | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 100 | 26 | 48.0 | L(4-9) | - | 4.21 |
| 06-29 | vs CHW | L 8-2 | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 109 | 27 | 63.0 | - | - | 4.19 |
| 06-24 | @ LAA | L 5-1 | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 91 | 24 | 35.0 | L(4-8) | - | 4.31 |
| 06-18 | @ SEA | L 3-0 | 7.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 99 | 28 | 62.0 | L(4-7) | - | 4.04 |
| 06-12 | vs SD | W 7-3 | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 103 | 24 | 44.0 | W(4-6) | - | 4.06 |
| 06-07 | @ TOR | L 6-4 | 5.2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 81 | 26 | 45.0 | L(3-6) | - | 4.09 |
| 06-02 | @ BOS | W 4-2 | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 94 | 26 | 65.0 | W(3-5) | - | 4.29 |
| 05-26 | vs TB | W 6-1 | 7.0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 99 | 29 | 66.0 | W(2-5) | - | 4.48 |