StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Sean Murphy

Atlanta Braves · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared underavg 0.2
09-19@ HOU0
09-19@ HOU0
09-16@ CHC0
09-14@ CHC0
09-12vs PHI1
09-11vs PHI1
09-09vs TB0
09-08vs TB0
09-06@ PHI0
09-04@ PHI0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.8
Total Bases1±6.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-09Hits0.80+0.8
09-04Hits0.90+0.9
08-26Total Bases0.57−6.5
08-23Hits0.51−0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19@ HOUW 6-3210000020000.179.250.316.566
09-19@ HOUW 6-2400000000000.183.240.323.563
09-16@ CHCL 8-4400000100100.191.250.337.587
09-14@ CHCL 7-3410000100200.200.261.353.614
09-12vs PHIW 12-2311100010100.210.273.370.643
09-11vs PHIW 6-5 F/11401000000100.205.262.359.621
09-09vs TBL 7-2300000000100.203.263.365.627
09-08vs TBL 7-1300000000000.211.273.380.653
09-06@ PHIW 5-4400000000200.221.284.397.681
09-04@ PHIW 5-2200000020100.234.300.422.722
09-02@ WSHW 9-0422001410100.242.288.435.723
08-31vs SFL 7-3311000010200.224.262.379.642
08-30vs COLW 3-2 F/10311001110100.218.246.382.627
08-28vs COLW 6-4412100100100.212.226.327.553
08-26vs LADW 6-5423101100100.188.204.292.496
08-25vs LADW 4-3200000010100.136.156.159.315
08-23vs MILW 4-2401000100100.143.143.167.310
08-20@ CHWW 2-0401000000100.132.132.158.289
08-18@ MINL 4-1300000000100.118.118.147.265
08-15vs ARIL 10-3300000000000.129.129.161.290