StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Sean Keys

Toronto Blue Jays · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.4
09-20@ TEX1
09-19@ TEX0
09-11vs BAL0
09-06@ KC0
09-05@ KC1
09-03@ CLE1
09-02@ CLE1
07-22vs TB0
07-19vs CHW0
07-17vs CHW0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.4 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases0.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits1±0.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.41−0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TEXW 7-2201100111000.208.269.375.644
09-19@ TEXL 7-1100000000000.196.229.348.577
09-11vs BALL 7-4100000000100.200.234.356.590
09-06@ KCL 6-1200000000200.205.239.364.603
09-05@ KCW 9-2111001100000.214.250.381.631
09-03@ CLEW 6-3401000110200.195.233.293.525
09-02@ CLEW 11-0111000000000.189.211.297.508
07-22vs TBL 4-2200000000000.167.189.278.467
07-19vs CHWL 3-0200000000100.176.200.294.494
07-17vs CHWL 12-4000000010000.188.212.313.525
07-12@ SDL 5-4300000000100.188.188.313.500
07-08@ SFW 9-3422000200100.207.207.345.552
07-07@ SFL 10-1400000000300.160.160.320.480
07-05@ SEAL 4-0200000000200.190.190.381.571
07-04@ SEAL 11-0300000000000.211.211.421.632
07-04@ SEAW 2-0412100000000.250.250.500.750
07-01vs NYMW 9-3411001300200.167.167.417.583
06-30vs NYML 3-0400000000200.125.125.125.250
06-27vs TEXL 7-4411000000100.250.250.250.500