StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Samad Taylor

San Diego Padres · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

9/1090% cleared overavg 1.5
09-20vs MIA3
09-20vs MIA1
09-19vs MIA2
09-17@ COL2
09-17@ COL2
09-16@ COL0
09-13@ SF1
09-12@ SF1
09-12@ SF1
09-09vs WSH2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-05Hits0.90+0.9
09-01Hits1.02−1.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MIAW 7-3303100100001.343.417.445.862
09-20vs MIAW 7-6 F/10211001210100.328.405.425.831
09-19vs MIAW 8-2312000110000.326.403.402.804
09-17@ COLW 9-2422100110100.318.393.395.788
09-17@ COLW 9-3422000200010.312.386.384.770
09-16@ COLL 9-3200000000000.306.382.380.763
09-13@ SFW 6-4311000000010.311.388.387.775
09-12@ SFW 7-6311000010000.310.389.388.777
09-12@ SFW 7-5401000000110.310.386.389.775
09-09vs WSHW 9-2412100000100.312.390.394.785
09-09vs WSHW 5-4100000000000.305.387.381.768
09-05vs NYYL 5-1400000000300.308.390.385.774
09-05vs NYYW 3-2 F/10400000000100.320.404.400.804
09-02@ CINL 7-3300000010100.333.418.417.835
09-01@ CINL 4-3412010001111.344.425.430.855
08-30@ TBL 5-4 F/11111000000000.337.416.404.820
07-08vs ARIW 4-1201000000100.330.410.398.808
07-07vs ARIL 8-0401000000200.326.408.395.804
07-04@ LADL 4-3100000000100.329.415.402.817
07-03@ LADL 12-7311000010000.333.419.407.827