StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Sal Stewart

Cincinnati Reds · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 1.1
09-20vs CHC0
09-19vs CHC0
09-18vs CHC1
09-17vs LAD2
09-16vs LAD3
09-15vs LAD0
09-14vs LAD0
09-13@ MIL2
09-12@ MIL1
09-11@ MIL2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.3
Total Bases3±1.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-12Hits1.11+0.1
08-30Total Bases2.05−3.0
08-18Hits1.11+0.1
08-16Hits1.10+1.1
07-25Hits0.91−0.1
07-20Total Bases2.10+2.1
07-17Total Bases2.22+0.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs CHCL 9-1400000000100.268.334.470.804
09-19vs CHCL 5-2400000000200.269.336.473.809
09-18vs CHCW 6-4301000100000.271.338.476.815
09-17vs LADL 8-2422001100100.271.339.477.816
09-16vs LADW 6-2413000100001.269.338.472.810
09-15vs LADL 4-0400000000300.266.335.470.805
09-14vs LADL 4-1400000000200.268.337.473.810
09-13@ MILW 4-3412000000100.270.340.476.816
09-12@ MILL 13-9411000010301.268.339.476.815
09-11@ MILL 20-0402000000000.268.338.478.816
09-10@ LADL 14-1302000000000.267.337.478.815
09-09@ LADL 3-2400000000100.264.335.477.812
09-08@ LADL 6-3300000010200.266.338.480.818
09-06vs MILW 12-8401000110020.268.338.483.821
09-05vs MILW 5-3302000010110.268.338.484.823
09-04vs MILL 10-7401000100000.266.336.483.819
09-02vs SDW 7-3400000000000.266.336.485.821
09-01vs SDW 4-3412000000000.268.338.489.827
08-31vs SDL 5-0401100000000.266.337.489.826
08-30@ CHCW 7-5512001100100.266.338.489.826