StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Sal Frelick

Milwaukee Brewers · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.6
09-20@ BAL0
09-18@ BAL1
09-17@ PIT2
09-16@ PIT0
09-13vs CIN0
09-12vs CIN0
09-09vs CHC1
09-08vs CHC1
09-06@ CIN0
09-04@ CIN1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
RBIs0.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.70+0.7
09-06Hits0.70+0.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ BALW 3-0300000000000.234.297.322.619
09-18@ BALW 6-5 F/10101000110010.236.299.325.624
09-17@ PITL 7-4302000100000.234.295.323.618
09-16@ PITW 5-4200000000000.230.293.320.613
09-13vs CINL 4-3100000000001.231.295.322.616
09-12vs CINW 13-9500000000000.232.295.323.618
09-09vs CHCW 8-6401000000100.236.300.328.628
09-08vs CHCW 4-3 F/10101000000000.235.300.329.629
09-06@ CINL 12-8500000000100.233.298.327.625
09-04@ CINW 10-7601100000000.237.303.332.635
09-02@ CHCW 9-5200000000000.238.305.332.637
09-01@ CHCW 9-4211000100000.240.307.334.641
08-31@ CHCL 17-3400000000200.238.306.333.639
08-30vs TEXL 7-4200000010100.241.310.338.648
08-28vs TEXW 6-1312100010000.243.309.340.650
08-27@ NYMW 8-2500000000200.239.304.333.637
08-26@ NYMW 8-1413100210000.243.309.339.648
07-17vs MIAW 2-1 F/10100000000000.236.301.330.630
07-12@ PITL 14-5400000000100.236.302.331.633
07-11@ PITL 7-6411001200100.240.306.336.641