StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Ryan Waldschmidt

Arizona Diamondbacks · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared underavg 0.4
09-16vs MIA0
09-13vs TEX0
09-12vs TEX0
09-08@ KC0
09-07@ KC1
09-05@ HOU0
09-05@ HOU0
09-02vs PHI1
09-01vs PHI2
08-30@ SF0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases0.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±0.7
Total Bases2±0.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-11Hits0.60+0.6
09-01Hits0.71−0.3
08-14Hits1.00+1.0
08-04Hits1.01+0.0
08-03Hits1.00+1.0
07-22Hits0.82−1.2
07-20Total Bases1.10+1.1
07-19Total Bases1.01+0.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-16vs MIAL 4-2 F/11200000000100.254.324.359.683
09-13vs TEXL 6-2400000000300.256.326.362.688
09-12vs TEXW 9-1220000011100.260.331.368.699
09-08@ KCW 5-3 F/11300000010200.263.328.371.699
09-07@ KCW 5-4 F/10411000000200.266.330.376.705
09-05@ HOUW 4-3 F/10300000010000.266.331.378.708
09-05@ HOUL 3-1300000000200.270.332.383.715
09-02vs PHIL 7-1201000010100.273.336.388.724
09-01vs PHIL 2-1402000000100.271.332.387.719
08-30@ SFL 7-2300000000100.267.329.385.714
08-29@ SFW 7-1401000000000.271.333.390.723
08-28@ SFL 6-1300000000100.271.335.393.727
08-26vs CHCW 2-0100000110000.275.339.398.737
08-26vs CHCW 5-4111001200000.276.339.400.739
08-25vs CHCL 7-0300000000200.273.336.383.719
08-23vs CINW 5-3200000000200.277.341.388.729
08-23vs CINL 11-5401000100100.279.344.392.736
08-22vs CINW 9-0301100110100.280.345.395.740
08-19@ BOSW 7-6 F/10312100120011.279.342.391.733
08-18@ BOSL 9-4311000000000.273.332.381.713