StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Ryan O'Hearn

Pittsburgh Pirates · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.6
09-20vs KC1
09-19vs KC0
09-18vs KC0
09-16vs MIL2
09-15vs MIL1
09-13@ CHC0
09-12@ CHC1
09-11@ CHC0
07-31@ CIN1
07-30@ CIN0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits1±0.2
Total Bases1±0.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits0.81−0.2
07-24Total Bases1.62−0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs KCW 4-3311000010100.264.331.443.774
09-19vs KCW 6-5400000000200.264.329.444.773
09-18vs KCW 8-5300000111100.266.333.449.781
09-16vs MILL 5-4402000000000.269.332.452.784
09-15vs MILL 5-1301000010100.266.330.452.782
09-13@ CHCW 4-3400000000100.266.328.453.781
09-12@ CHCL 4-3411001300100.268.332.458.789
09-11@ CHCL 12-2200000000000.269.333.452.784
07-31@ CINL 8-7401000010000.270.334.454.788
07-30@ CINL 3-2400000000100.270.333.456.790
07-29vs ARIL 3-0400000000000.274.337.462.798
07-28vs ARIL 8-7 F/12612200100000.277.340.467.807
07-27vs ARIW 3-2 F/10400000000000.276.340.463.804
07-26vs CHCW 8-7221001420000.279.344.469.813
07-25vs CHCL 11-0301000000000.278.340.460.799
07-24vs CHCL 3-2 F/10402000000100.277.340.461.801
07-22@ NYYL 2-0400000000200.274.338.460.798
07-22@ NYYW 5-3 F/10400000000300.278.342.466.808
07-20@ NYYL 8-5412000000200.281.346.472.817
07-19@ CLEW 7-1400000010100.278.344.472.815