StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Ryan McMahon

New York Yankees · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.4
09-20@ ARI0
09-19@ ARI0
09-16@ MIN0
09-14@ MIN1
09-13vs NYM0
09-11vs NYM1
09-10vs COL1
09-09vs COL0
09-08vs COL1
09-06@ SD0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.5 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±0.8
Total Bases2±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Hits0.51−0.5
09-13Total Bases0.70+0.7
09-09Hits0.60+0.6
09-08Hits0.51−0.5
08-15Hits0.70+0.7
08-09Hits0.50+0.5
08-07Hits0.52−1.5
08-04Hits0.51−0.5
08-03Hits0.52−1.5
08-02Hits0.41−0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ ARIL 5-3100000010000.208.275.343.618
09-19@ ARIW 9-2200000100100.208.274.344.618
09-16@ MINL 5-4 F/13600000000400.210.275.346.621
09-14@ MINW 8-3301000000000.214.280.353.633
09-13vs NYMW 2-0300000000000.212.280.353.633
09-11vs NYMW 6-4401000100000.215.282.356.639
09-10vs COLW 10-3321000010000.214.283.358.641
09-09vs COLW 6-1400000000100.213.280.358.638
09-08vs COLW 5-3301100100100.216.283.363.647
09-06@ SDL 4-3400000000200.215.283.360.643
09-05@ SDW 5-1201000000000.218.287.365.652
09-05@ SDL 3-2 F/10200000000000.216.285.364.649
09-02@ LAAW 7-3301000020000.217.287.367.654
08-19@ BALW 5-3301000100100.216.282.367.649
08-18@ BALW 3-1100000010100.215.281.367.649
08-16@ TORW 4-3 F/10200000000200.215.280.369.649
08-15@ TORL 4-1300000000100.217.282.371.653
08-14@ TORL 3-1301000000100.219.285.375.660
08-13vs SEAL 1-0200000010000.218.284.376.660
08-12vs SEAW 10-5402100100000.220.284.379.663