StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Ryan Kreidler

Minnesota Twins · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.4
09-20@ LAA0
09-20@ LAA1
09-16vs NYY1
09-15vs NYY0
09-14vs NYY1
09-13vs CLE0
09-12vs CLE1
09-07@ DET0
09-06@ CHW0
09-05@ CHW0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.4 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases0.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±0.6
Total Bases3±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Total Bases0.64−3.4
09-14Total Bases0.61−0.4
09-13Hits0.30+0.3
09-05Hits0.30+0.3
08-07Hits0.52−1.5
08-06Hits0.50+0.5
07-28Total Bases1.01−0.0
07-25Hits0.51−0.5
07-24Hits0.50+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LAAW 8-0000000010000.218.285.385.670
09-20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11411001110200.218.282.385.667
09-16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13411001110201.217.280.374.654
09-15vs NYYL 8-1100000000000.217.278.363.640
09-14vs NYYL 8-3401000000100.218.279.364.643
09-13vs CLEL 9-2300000000100.217.279.367.646
09-12vs CLEW 4-3201100000100.220.283.372.654
09-07@ DETL 5-4000000010000.218.281.366.647
09-06@ CHWL 10-1100000000100.218.278.366.644
09-05@ CHWW 6-4300000001100.219.279.367.646
09-02vs DETL 11-6 F/12100000010100.222.279.373.652
09-01vs DETW 15-2100000000000.223.278.374.652
08-31vs DETW 11-1100000000000.224.279.376.655
08-26@ ATHL 4-2200000010000.225.280.378.658
08-25@ ATHW 9-6421001100200.227.279.382.661
08-23@ SDL 8-1100000000000.227.280.369.649
08-23@ SDL 7-5000000000000.228.281.371.652
08-16vs PHIL 7-5000000000000.228.281.371.652
08-15vs PHIL 9-1300000010300.228.281.371.652
08-12vs BALW 7-5400000000200.231.282.377.659