StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Ryan Jeffers

Minnesota Twins · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

3/1030% cleared overavg 0.4
09-20@ LAA0
09-19@ LAA1
09-18@ LAA0
09-16vs NYY0
09-14vs NYY0
09-13vs CLE0
09-12vs CLE1
09-08@ DET2
09-07@ DET0
09-06@ CHW0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.8 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases3±1.7
Hits2±0

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-02Hits1.11+0.1
07-28Hits1.010.0
07-24Total Bases1.91+0.9
07-19Total Bases2.10+2.1
07-17Total Bases1.94−2.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11500000000000.255.355.467.822
09-19@ LAAW 3-0301000100000.259.360.475.835
09-18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10000000010000.259.362.476.838
09-16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13400000010300.259.360.476.836
09-14vs NYYL 8-3400000000100.262.362.483.845
09-13vs CLEL 9-2400000000200.266.366.490.856
09-12vs CLEL 5-2401000000100.270.371.496.867
09-08@ DETW 3-2302100010000.270.372.500.872
09-07@ DETL 5-4400000101100.265.368.495.862
09-06@ CHWL 10-1200000010000.269.370.502.872
09-05@ CHWW 6-4411001300100.271.371.506.876
09-04@ CHWL 4-1400000000100.272.372.498.870
09-02vs DETL 11-6 F/12611100100100.276.377.506.883
09-01vs DETW 15-2412011300000.278.381.510.891
08-31vs DETW 11-1322002410100.275.380.490.870
08-30vs CHWW 5-1321100010000.270.375.464.838
08-29vs CHWL 3-2100000000000.269.373.461.834
08-29vs CHWL 7-4500000000200.270.374.463.837
08-27@ ATHL 7-4401000000100.276.381.473.854
08-26@ ATHL 4-2400000000200.277.383.477.859