StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Royce Lewis

Minnesota Twins · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.7
09-20@ LAA1
09-20@ LAA2
09-19@ LAA1
09-18@ LAA0
09-16vs NYY0
09-15vs NYY1
09-13vs CLE0
09-12vs CLE1
09-12vs CLE1
09-09@ DET0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases6±0.9
Hits1±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-05Total Bases1.30+1.3
08-31Total Bases1.00+1.0
08-26Total Bases1.20+1.2
08-25Total Bases1.32−0.7
08-13Hits1.30+1.3
07-29Total Bases1.41+0.4
07-22Total Bases1.41+0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LAAW 8-0501000000300.227.290.381.670
09-20@ LAAL 6-5 F/11502100000100.228.291.383.673
09-19@ LAAW 3-0401000000000.226.290.380.670
09-18@ LAAL 5-4 F/10500000000400.226.290.381.671
09-16vs NYYW 5-4 F/13400000100100.228.293.386.679
09-15vs NYYL 8-1411000000010.230.296.390.686
09-13vs CLEL 9-2200000000000.230.297.391.687
09-12vs CLEW 4-3301000110100.231.298.393.691
09-12vs CLEL 5-2401100100100.231.296.393.689
09-09@ DETL 7-2300000000200.230.296.392.689
09-08@ DETW 3-2400000000100.232.298.395.694
09-07@ DETL 5-4400000000100.234.301.399.700
09-06@ CHWL 10-1301000000100.237.304.403.707
09-05@ CHWW 6-4300000010000.236.304.404.707
09-04@ CHWL 4-1402100000100.238.304.407.711
09-02vs DETL 11-6 F/12601000200300.235.302.403.705
09-01vs DETW 15-2423101310000.236.304.407.711
08-31vs DETW 11-1310000010100.231.298.393.691
08-30vs CHWW 5-1300000000000.233.299.396.695
08-29vs CHWL 3-2401000000100.235.301.399.700