StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Riley Greene

Detroit Tigers · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

10/10100% cleared overavg 1.6
09-20@ CHW1
09-19@ CHW2
09-18@ CHW1
09-17@ CHW1
09-16@ TOR1
09-15@ TOR1
09-14@ TOR2
09-13vs COL2
09-12vs COL2
09-11vs COL3

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.4 we project
Home Runs0.3 we project
RBIs1.0 we project
Total Bases2.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±1.4
Total Bases2±2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-07Hits0.93−2.1
09-06Hits0.82−1.2
07-26Hits0.90+0.9
07-24Total Bases2.00+2.0
07-19Total Bases2.04−2.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CHWL 8-1411100000100.285.372.484.856
09-19@ CHWL 3-1302000001000.286.373.484.856
09-18@ CHWW 11-8411001210200.283.370.483.853
09-17@ CHWL 3-1401000000200.284.370.478.848
09-16@ TORL 5-1401000100000.284.371.480.851
09-15@ TORW 10-1311000110100.284.372.482.854
09-14@ TORW 6-5512000000100.284.371.483.854
09-13vs COLW 8-1412001300100.283.370.484.854
09-12vs COLW 11-7512000100200.281.369.477.847
09-11vs COLW 6-2413110200000.279.369.478.847
09-09vs MINW 7-2200000120000.275.366.469.835
09-08vs MINL 3-2400000000200.277.365.471.836
09-07vs MINW 5-4413001200000.279.368.475.843
09-06@ CLEL 3-2 F/10402200200100.275.365.466.831
09-05@ CLEW 6-0534102400100.273.364.461.825
09-04@ CLEL 7-6310000010000.267.360.441.801
09-02@ MINW 11-6 F/12601100100300.269.361.444.805
09-01@ MINL 15-2400000100200.270.363.446.809
08-11vs CLEW 6-4010000001000.273.366.450.816
08-09@ SFW 3-1 F/10410000000300.273.365.450.815