StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Rafael Flores

Pittsburgh Pirates · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

9/1090% cleared overavg 1.4
09-20vs KC2
09-19vs KC2
09-17vs MIL0
09-16vs MIL1
09-15vs MIL4
09-13@ CHC1
09-12@ CHC1
09-11@ CHC1
09-10@ CHW1
09-09@ CHW1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases2.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits0.84−3.2
09-08Hits0.63−2.4
09-05Hits0.52−1.5
08-28Hits0.80+0.8
08-18Hits0.71−0.3
08-09Hits0.50+0.5
08-07Hits0.41−0.6
08-05Hits0.40+0.4
08-01Hits0.50+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs KCW 4-3312101210100.286.354.556.910
09-19vs KCW 6-5302100010000.277.343.523.866
09-17vs MILW 7-4300000010200.268.331.512.843
09-16vs MILL 5-4411001100200.274.333.524.858
09-15vs MILL 5-1404000000000.275.336.508.844
09-13@ CHCW 4-3411000000200.250.315.491.806
09-12@ CHCL 4-3101000000000.250.317.500.817
09-11@ CHCL 12-2401000000100.243.311.495.807
09-10@ CHWW 2-0401000000200.243.314.505.818
09-09@ CHWW 4-2401000100000.243.316.515.830
09-08@ CHWW 9-3513001100000.242.318.525.843
09-05vs LAAL 6-1402100000000.223.305.489.794
09-03vs SFW 5-2401000000100.211.297.478.775
09-02vs SFL 5-4 F/10410000010100.209.299.488.787
09-01vs SFW 13-12100000000000.220.304.512.817
08-30@ STLW 5-4400000010200.222.308.519.826
08-29@ STLW 6-2411001300200.234.314.545.859
08-29@ STLL 4-1400000000200.233.317.521.838
08-26@ SDL 3-0400000000100.246.333.551.884
08-26@ SDW 1-0100000000000.262.351.585.936