StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits11±0.7
Total Bases4±3.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits1.10+1.1
09-15Hits1.10+1.1
09-13Hits1.20+1.2
09-11Hits1.21+0.2
09-08Hits1.21+0.2
09-07Hits1.12−0.9
08-29Total Bases2.313−10.7
08-23Hits1.02−1.0
08-22Hits1.11+0.1
08-18Hits1.11+0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CINW 9-1533101200010.280.371.578.949
09-19@ CINW 5-2500000000100.277.369.571.941
09-18@ CINL 6-4500000000300.280.372.576.948
09-16vs ATLW 8-4433012310100.282.375.581.956
09-15vs ATLL 6-3500000000100.279.372.566.938
09-14vs ATLW 7-3514101400010.281.374.571.945
09-13vs PITL 4-3400000000100.277.371.562.933
09-12vs PITW 4-3400000000200.279.373.566.940
09-11vs PITW 12-2411000110100.281.376.570.946
09-09@ MILL 8-6321000010100.281.375.572.948
09-08@ MILL 4-3 F/10501000000210.281.375.574.948
09-07@ MILL 4-3422001101020.281.376.577.953
09-06@ MIAL 10-3311001200000.280.374.572.946
09-05@ MIAW 6-5401000110200.279.375.568.943
09-04@ MIAW 6-1421100010110.280.375.570.945
09-03vs MILW 2-1411001200100.280.375.571.946
09-02vs MILL 9-5321000020100.280.375.568.943
09-01vs MILL 9-4400000000300.280.374.569.943
08-31vs MILW 17-3511000000100.282.376.573.949
08-30vs CINL 7-5522002200100.283.377.577.954