StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Pavin Smith

Arizona Diamondbacks · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.7
Total Bases1±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.50+0.5
09-19Hits0.51−0.5
09-18Total Bases0.80+0.8
09-16Hits0.42−1.6
09-15Hits0.50+0.5
09-12Hits0.41−0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs NYYW 8-4100000010100.170.255.287.542
09-20vs NYYW 5-3111001200000.172.250.290.540
09-19vs NYYL 9-2200000000100.163.243.250.493
09-17vs MIAL 4-3412001100000.167.248.256.503
09-16vs MIAL 4-2 F/11300000000100.151.237.209.446
09-15vs MIAW 8-7411100000110.157.245.217.462
09-13vs TEXL 6-2101000100000.152.244.203.447
07-09@ SDL 10-4400000000100.141.236.192.428
07-08@ SDL 4-1300000000100.149.247.203.450
07-07@ SDW 8-0100000000100.155.256.211.467
07-05vs MILL 3-2401000000200.157.259.214.474
07-02vs SFL 6-4411000100000.152.260.212.472
07-01vs SFW 8-2300000010110.145.260.210.470
06-30vs SFW 5-4300000000000.153.261.220.481
06-28@ TBL 5-1401100000000.161.273.232.505
06-26@ TBL 6-1400000000000.154.274.212.486
06-23@ STLW 4-3200000020000.167.293.229.522
06-22@ STLL 3-2300000000000.174.278.239.517
06-21vs MINL 4-2400000000000.186.294.256.550
06-21vs MINL 16-8502000100200.205.319.282.601