StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Ozzie Albies

Atlanta Braves · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.6
09-20@ HOU1
09-19@ HOU0
09-19@ HOU0
09-16@ CHC1
09-15@ CHC2
09-14@ CHC0
09-13vs PHI0
09-12vs PHI1
09-11vs PHI0
09-10vs TB1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases8±0.9
Hits1±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-01Total Bases1.34−2.7
08-28Total Bases1.31+0.3
08-23Total Bases1.22−0.8
08-20Total Bases1.31+0.3
08-18Total Bases1.21+0.2
08-15Total Bases1.30+1.3
08-14Total Bases1.30+1.3
07-18Hits1.00+1.0
07-17Total Bases1.72−0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ HOUW 4-2411000100100.242.298.402.700
09-19@ HOUW 6-3400000000100.242.298.403.702
09-19@ HOUW 6-2300000010100.244.300.406.706
09-16@ CHCL 8-4311000010100.245.300.408.709
09-15@ CHCW 6-3422001200010.245.299.409.708
09-14@ CHCL 7-3400000000100.243.298.403.701
09-13vs PHIL 9-4500000000000.245.300.406.705
09-12vs PHIW 12-2321100110100.247.302.409.711
09-11vs PHIW 6-5 F/11510000000100.246.301.408.709
09-10vs TBW 3-1111010000000.249.304.411.715
09-09vs TBL 7-2300000000100.247.303.407.710
09-08vs TBL 7-1300000010100.249.304.409.713
09-07@ PHIL 1-0400000000100.250.305.411.716
09-06@ PHIW 5-4411100000000.252.307.414.721
09-05@ PHIL 4-2400000000000.252.307.414.721
09-04@ PHIW 5-2501100000100.254.309.417.726
09-02@ WSHW 9-0411000010200.254.310.417.727
09-01@ WSHL 9-5411001100000.254.309.418.727
08-31vs SFL 7-3401000000000.254.310.414.723
08-30vs COLW 3-2 F/10401100000200.254.310.415.725