StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Oswald Peraza

Los Angeles Angels · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.6
09-20vs MIN1
09-20vs MIN0
09-19vs MIN0
09-18vs MIN2
09-12@ WSH0
09-11@ WSH0
09-09@ BOS2
09-04@ PIT0
09-03vs NYY0
09-02vs NYY1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±0.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-04Hits0.50+0.5
09-02Hits0.50+0.5
08-31Hits0.50+0.5
08-29Hits0.40+0.4
08-11Hits0.50+0.5
08-10Hits0.41−0.6
08-09Hits0.40+0.4
08-06Hits0.40+0.4
07-21Hits0.50+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MINL 8-0101000000000.226.283.336.619
09-20vs MINW 6-5 F/11100000000100.224.281.334.615
09-19vs MINL 3-0400000000100.225.282.335.617
09-18vs MINW 5-4 F/10302000100000.227.285.339.624
09-12@ WSHL 6-5 F/10310000010100.223.282.336.618
09-11@ WSHL 4-3010000010000.225.282.340.622
09-09@ BOSW 6-4412000000100.225.280.340.620
09-04@ PITL 1-0300000000200.222.277.338.615
09-03vs NYYL 6-3 F/10300000000100.224.280.341.621
09-02vs NYYL 7-3301000000000.226.282.344.626
09-01vs NYYW 10-1310000002100.225.282.344.626
08-30vs PHIL 5-2302000010100.227.280.347.628
08-30vs PHIL 4-2 F/10300000000200.223.274.344.619
08-26vs CLEL 4-3100000000000.225.277.348.625
08-22@ TEXL 2-1 F/10300000010200.226.278.349.627
08-21@ HOUW 18-3111100000000.228.278.352.630
08-20@ HOUL 3-2300000010200.226.276.347.623
08-16vs KCL 3-0200000010100.228.276.350.627
08-13vs TEXW 5-2210000001000.229.276.353.628
08-12vs TEXW 3-2300000000000.231.275.355.630