StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Nick Morabito

New York Mets · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.6
09-20vs PHI0
09-19vs PHI0
09-17vs PHI1
09-13@ NYY0
09-12@ NYY1
09-07@ MIA2
09-06vs SF0
09-04vs SF0
09-02@ TB2
09-01@ TB0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.4 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases2±1.1
Hits1±0.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Total Bases0.50+0.5
09-07Total Bases0.32−1.7
09-06Hits0.30+0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs PHIL 7-2200000000100.176.282.206.488
09-19vs PHIW 10-3010000000000.188.297.219.516
09-17vs PHIL 3-0301000000100.188.297.219.516
09-13@ NYYL 2-0300000000000.172.294.207.501
09-12@ NYYW 12-2311000010000.192.323.231.553
09-07@ MIAW 9-4402000110010.174.296.217.514
09-06vs SFW 4-2200000000001.105.227.158.385
09-04vs SFW 10-6310000010100.118.250.176.426
09-02@ TBW 10-4202100300000.143.250.214.464
09-01@ TBL 6-2100000001000.000.143.000.143
05-25vs CINL 7-2400000000300.000.083.000.083
05-24@ MIAL 4-0000000000001.000.125.000.125
05-22@ MIAL 2-1300000000300.000.125.000.125
05-20@ WSHL 8-4100000000100.000.200.000.200
05-19@ WSHL 9-6300000001200.000.250.000.250