StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Nick Loftin

Kansas City Royals · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±1
Total Bases6±1.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-26Hits0.71−0.3
08-23Hits0.53−2.5
08-22Hits0.51−0.5
08-20Total Bases0.73−2.3
08-19Hits0.60+0.6
08-18Total Bases0.90+0.9
08-12Hits0.70+0.7
08-10Hits0.72−1.3
08-09Total Bases1.20+1.2
07-28Total Bases1.51+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ PITL 4-3401000000010.240.324.380.704
09-19@ PITL 6-5504000100000.240.324.382.706
09-18@ PITL 8-5301100010100.232.319.376.694
09-17@ HOUL 6-2100000000000.231.317.373.690
09-17@ HOUW 5-2201000010000.231.318.374.692
09-16@ HOUL 4-2100000000000.230.315.374.688
09-13@ BOSL 4-1300000000100.231.316.375.690
09-12@ BOSL 5-1400000000300.233.318.378.696
09-11@ BOSW 3-2401100000100.235.321.382.704
09-09vs ARIW 5-2200000010100.235.322.381.703
09-08vs ARIL 5-3 F/11511100000100.237.322.383.705
09-07vs ARIL 5-4 F/10500000000100.237.324.383.707
09-06vs TORW 6-1402000100100.241.328.389.717
09-05vs TORL 4-3301000000100.238.326.388.714
09-05vs TORL 9-2400000000100.237.326.388.714
09-03vs MIAW 7-3201000000100.240.330.393.723
09-02vs MIAL 9-6311000020010.238.329.392.721
09-01vs MIAL 6-3411001100200.237.325.393.718
08-30@ CLEL 11-1401100000100.237.326.385.711
08-29@ CLEW 8-3522100000000.237.327.383.710