StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Nick Gonzales

Pittsburgh Pirates · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20vs KC0
09-19vs KC1
09-18vs KC1
09-17vs MIL0
09-15vs MIL2
09-13@ CHC1
09-11@ CHC1
09-10@ CHW1
09-09@ CHW1
09-06vs LAA0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±0.7
Total Bases4±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.11+0.1
09-05Hits1.11+0.1
08-12Total Bases1.33−1.7
08-06Hits1.22−0.8
08-04Hits1.30+1.3
08-01Hits1.50+1.5
07-27Total Bases1.82−0.2
07-26Hits1.32−0.7
07-25Total Bases1.91+0.9
07-24Total Bases1.91+0.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs KCW 4-3400000000100.302.365.389.754
09-19vs KCW 6-5411100000100.304.367.392.759
09-18vs KCW 8-5311000001000.304.368.391.759
09-17vs MILW 7-4400000000300.304.367.392.759
09-15vs MILL 5-1302000010000.307.370.395.764
09-13@ CHCW 4-3411100100100.304.367.393.760
09-11@ CHCL 12-2301000010000.305.368.392.760
09-10@ CHWW 2-0401100000100.305.367.393.760
09-09@ CHWW 4-2401000000000.305.368.392.760
09-06vs LAAW 1-0300000000000.306.369.393.762
09-05vs LAAL 6-1401100000000.307.371.395.766
09-04vs LAAW 1-0300000001100.308.372.394.766
09-03vs SFW 5-2301000010000.310.372.397.769
09-02vs SFL 5-4 F/10401000110000.310.372.397.769
09-01vs SFW 13-12513000101000.310.371.398.770
08-29@ STLW 6-2402100110101.307.368.396.764
08-29@ STLL 4-1301000010000.305.366.393.759
08-26@ SDL 3-0300000010200.305.365.394.758
08-26@ SDW 1-0401000000100.307.366.396.762
08-25@ SDW 3-2 F/12502000110010.308.366.397.764