StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Nathaniel Lowe

Cleveland Guardians · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.9
Total Bases1±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-11Hits0.70+0.7
08-21Total Bases1.73−1.3
08-14Hits1.03−2.0
07-30Hits0.91−0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs ATHW 1-0300000000000.253.320.450.771
09-18vs ATHW 5-3301000001100.255.323.454.777
09-15vs CHWW 7-6402000000000.255.321.455.776
09-14vs CHWL 7-3200000000100.252.319.454.774
09-13@ MINW 9-2402000100000.253.321.457.778
09-12@ MINL 4-3200000000000.251.320.456.776
09-12@ MINW 5-2200000000100.252.322.459.780
09-09@ BALL 9-5411001200100.254.323.462.785
09-08@ BALW 9-5310000020200.254.324.455.779
09-07@ BALL 6-4111001300000.256.323.459.782
09-06vs DETW 3-2 F/10200000011000.254.321.449.770
09-04vs DETW 4-3 F/10201100100100.255.319.452.771
09-04vs DETW 7-6411000000100.254.318.448.767
09-03vs TORL 6-3401000010100.254.319.451.770
09-02vs TORL 11-0400000000200.254.318.453.771
09-01vs TORW 6-1300000010100.257.321.459.780
08-30vs KCW 11-1411001300000.259.322.463.785
08-29vs KCL 8-3200000000100.259.324.456.780
08-28vs KCL 3-0400000000300.261.326.459.785
08-26@ LAAW 4-3302000110100.264.330.465.794