Nathan Lukes
Toronto Blue Jays · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:
7/1070% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20@ TEX2✓
09-19@ TEX0✗
09-19@ TEX0✗
09-16vs DET1✓
09-15vs DET1✓
09-14vs DET1✓
09-13vs BAL0✗
09-12vs BAL1✓
09-11vs BAL1✓
09-09@ ATH1✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases8———±1.1
Hits6———±0.4
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits1.01+0.0
09-03Hits0.92−1.1
08-28Hits0.81−0.2
08-15Total Bases0.91−0.1
08-14Total Bases1.00+1.0
08-13Hits0.71−0.3
08-11Hits0.71−0.3
08-09Hits0.81−0.2
08-01Total Bases1.20+1.2
07-25Total Bases1.24−2.8
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 | @ TEX | W 7-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .274 | .322 | .387 | .709 |
| 09-19 | @ TEX | L 6-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .271 | .319 | .385 | .704 |
| 09-19 | @ TEX | L 7-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .320 | .387 | .707 |
| 09-16 | vs DET | W 5-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .274 | .322 | .389 | .711 |
| 09-15 | vs DET | L 10-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .274 | .322 | .389 | .711 |
| 09-14 | vs DET | L 6-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .322 | .390 | .712 |
| 09-13 | vs BAL | W 8-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .323 | .389 | .711 |
| 09-12 | vs BAL | W 7-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .321 | .389 | .710 |
| 09-11 | vs BAL | L 7-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .274 | .322 | .390 | .712 |
| 09-09 | @ ATH | L 2-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .274 | .322 | .392 | .714 |
| 09-09 | @ ATH | W 4-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .272 | .321 | .390 | .711 |
| 09-08 | @ ATH | L 6-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .272 | .321 | .392 | .713 |
| 09-06 | @ KC | L 6-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .270 | .319 | .390 | .710 |
| 09-05 | @ KC | W 4-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .270 | .320 | .392 | .712 |
| 09-05 | @ KC | W 9-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .265 | .316 | .389 | .706 |
| 09-03 | @ CLE | W 6-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .265 | .317 | .391 | .708 |
| 09-02 | @ CLE | W 11-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .263 | .316 | .385 | .701 |
| 09-01 | @ CLE | L 6-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .261 | .315 | .384 | .699 |
| 08-30 | vs SEA | W 7-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .264 | .318 | .389 | .707 |
| 08-29 | vs SEA | W 4-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .264 | .316 | .390 | .706 |