Nathan Church
St. Louis Cardinals · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:
7/1070% cleared overavg 1.2
09-20vs WSH0✗
09-19vs WSH2✓
09-19vs WSH1✓
09-16vs SF2✓
09-15vs SF0✗
09-14vs SF0✗
09-13vs CHW2✓
09-12vs CHW3✓
09-12vs CHW1✓
09-09@ SF1✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.3 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6———±0.9
Total Bases2———±2.1
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.02−1.0
09-04Total Bases1.21+0.2
08-25Total Bases0.95−4.0
08-04Hits0.71−0.3
07-31Hits0.42−1.6
07-28Hits0.41−0.6
07-23Hits0.41−0.6
07-20Hits0.52−1.5
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 | vs WSH | W 5-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .252 | .297 | .373 | .670 |
| 09-19 | vs WSH | L 8-5 F/11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .254 | .299 | .375 | .674 |
| 09-19 | vs WSH | L 9-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .252 | .298 | .373 | .671 |
| 09-16 | vs SF | L 6-5 F/10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .252 | .298 | .370 | .668 |
| 09-15 | vs SF | L 10-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .297 | .370 | .667 |
| 09-14 | vs SF | W 2-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .252 | .297 | .373 | .670 |
| 09-13 | vs CHW | W 3-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .254 | .299 | .376 | .675 |
| 09-12 | vs CHW | L 6-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .251 | .296 | .371 | .667 |
| 09-12 | vs CHW | W 7-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .245 | .292 | .364 | .657 |
| 09-09 | @ SF | L 7-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .244 | .288 | .364 | .651 |
| 09-09 | @ SF | L 2-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .243 | .286 | .364 | .650 |
| 09-08 | @ SF | L 5-4 F/11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .243 | .284 | .364 | .648 |
| 09-06 | @ COL | W 10-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .243 | .285 | .364 | .648 |
| 09-06 | @ COL | L 10-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .243 | .285 | .365 | .650 |
| 09-05 | @ COL | W 7-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .242 | .284 | .364 | .648 |
| 09-04 | @ LAD | L 3-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .242 | .284 | .365 | .650 |
| 09-03 | @ LAD | W 8-6 F/10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .242 | .285 | .367 | .651 |
| 09-02 | @ LAD | W 13-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .239 | .282 | .365 | .648 |
| 08-30 | vs PIT | L 5-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .239 | .283 | .366 | .649 |
| 08-29 | vs PIT | L 6-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .286 | .371 | .656 |